The future of primary care can look downright frightening.
Georgia and the rest of the nation already have a general shortage of obstetricians, internists, pediatricians and family medicine doctors, especially in rural and urban areas. And things are getting worse. The Health Resources and Services Administration forecasts a shortage of 65,000 primary care physicians in the U.S. in 2020.
Meanwhile, most physicians coming out of medical school are gravitating toward specialty medicine instead of front-line care.
If the Affordable Care Act is upheld by the Supreme Court, the law will enable 30 million uninsured Americans to gain coverage. A common prediction is that many of those newly insured people will immediately seek the physician services they have long needed, swamping primary care practices.
Currently, on the other hand, many uninsured patients put off seeking care until ‘‘the pain is unbearable,’’ said Dr. David Satcher, director of the Satcher Health Leadership Institute at Morehouse School of Medicine in Atlanta.
Satcher, a former U.S. surgeon general and CDC director, joined a panel that addressed the future of primary care last week in Atlanta at the Association of Health Care Journalists conference.
The experts’ presentations suggested there may be no single answer to the nation’s primary care problem, but rather a number of partial remedies that, taken together, may fill in some of these vexing gaps in our health care system. full story

